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Aspiring to a better future: Can a simple psychological intervention reduce poverty?

journal contribution
posted on 2025-12-01, 15:02 authored by Kate Orkin, Robert Garlick, Mahreen MahmudMahreen Mahmud, Richard Sedlmayr, Johannes Haushofer, Stefan Dercon
Do higher aspirations for the future motivate people living in poverty to make long-term investments? Do their aspirations increase when economic conditions improve? To answer these questions, we run a 415-village field experiment with 8,300 women living in poverty in rural Kenya. We design an 80-minute workshop to help people set higher aspirations and plan to achieve them. We cross-randomise this with large unconditional cash transfers. The workshop substantially raises aspirations, labour supply, investment, revenue, and living standards 17 months later, relative to a placebo workshop. Increases in aspirations are the most likely mechanism to explain the economic effects. Cash transfers also raise aspirations, which might help to explain why transfers increase labour supply and investment. We conclude that aspirations respond to both economic and psychological interventions, contribute to investment decisions and living standards, and are important considerations for development policy.<p></p>

Funding

Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation

Fidelity Charitable

Good Ventures

JPAL PPE Initiative

John Collenette donation

UKRI GCRF Accelerating Achievement for Africa’s Adolescents Hub

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© 2025

Rights Retention Status

  • No

Submission date

2024-02-21

Notes

This is the author accepted manuscript.

Journal

The Review of Economic Studies

Publisher

Oxford University Press

Version

  • Accepted Manuscript

Language

en

FCD date

2025-04-16T16:57:38Z

Department

  • Economics

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