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dc.contributor.authorKatz, Gabriel
dc.date.accessioned2015-05-27T13:32:44Z
dc.date.issued2015-09-01
dc.description.abstractScholars have argued that adherence to regime principles in emerging democracies can be threatened by the political system’s inability to respond to critical events like natural disasters. However, little is known about the dynamics of the causal relationship between system performance and system support. This paper examines the time-varying effects of the 2007 Ica earthquake in Peru on political support. We find that, in the short-run, the poor government response not only reduced support for political actors, but also for democracy. Over the longer run, however, Peruvians continued to relish the game of democratic politics even though they no longer liked the players. We conclude that democratic preferences in fragile states, while volatile, can be resistant to massive policy failures.en_GB
dc.identifier.doi10.1093/ijpor/edv010
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10871/17332
dc.language.isoenen_GB
dc.publisherOxford University Pressen_GB
dc.rights.embargoreasonPublisher requirementen_GB
dc.subjectNatural disastersen_GB
dc.subjectemerging democraciesen_GB
dc.subjectpolitical supporten_GB
dc.subjectpublic opinion dynamicsen_GB
dc.subjectcausal inferenceen_GB
dc.subjectsynthetic control methodsen_GB
dc.titleThe Dynamics of Political Support in Emerging Democracies: Evidence from a Natural Disaster in Peruen_GB
dc.typeArticleen_GB
dc.descriptionAlmost final version of the articleen_GB
dc.identifier.journalInternational Journal of Public Opinion Researchen_GB


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