Projected future changes in rainfall in Southeast Asia based on CORDEX–SEA multi-model simulations
dc.contributor.author | Tangang, F | |
dc.contributor.author | Chung, JX | |
dc.contributor.author | Juneng, L | |
dc.contributor.author | Supari | |
dc.contributor.author | Salimun, E | |
dc.contributor.author | Ngai, ST | |
dc.contributor.author | Jamaluddin, AF | |
dc.contributor.author | Mohd, MSF | |
dc.contributor.author | Cruz, F | |
dc.contributor.author | Narisma, G | |
dc.contributor.author | Santisirisomboon, J | |
dc.contributor.author | Ngo-Duc, T | |
dc.contributor.author | Van Tan, P | |
dc.contributor.author | Singhruck, P | |
dc.contributor.author | Gunawan, D | |
dc.contributor.author | Aldrian, E | |
dc.contributor.author | Sopaheluwakan, A | |
dc.contributor.author | Grigory, N | |
dc.contributor.author | Remedio, ARC | |
dc.contributor.author | Sein, DV | |
dc.contributor.author | Hein-Griggs, D | |
dc.contributor.author | McGregor, JL | |
dc.contributor.author | Yang, H | |
dc.contributor.author | Sasaki, H | |
dc.contributor.author | Kumar, P | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2020-08-17T12:52:09Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2020-06-09 | |
dc.description.abstract | This paper examines the projected changes in rainfall in Southeast Asia (SEA) in the twenty-first century based on the multi-model simulations of the Southeast Asia Regional Climate Downscaling/Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment–Southeast Asia (SEACLID/CORDEX–SEA). A total of 11 General Circulation Models (GCMs) have been downscaled using 7 Regional Climate Models (RCMs) to a resolution of 25 km × 25 km over the SEA domain (89.5° E–146.5° E, 14.8° S–27.0° N) for two different representative concentration pathways (RCP) scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. The 1976–2005 period is considered as the historical period for evaluating the changes in seasonal precipitation of December–January–February (DJF) and June–July–August (JJA) over future periods of the early (2011–2040), mid (2041–2070) and late twenty-first century (2071–2099). The ensemble mean shows a good reproduction of the SEA climatological mean spatial precipitation pattern with systematic wet biases, which originated largely from simulations using the RegCM4 model. Increases in mean rainfall (10–20%) are projected throughout the twenty-first century over Indochina and eastern Philippines during DJF while a drying tendency prevails over the Maritime Continent. For JJA, projections of both RCPs indicate reductions in mean rainfall (10–30%) over the Maritime Continent, particularly over the Indonesian region by mid and late twenty-first century. However, examination of individual member responses shows prominent inter-model variations, reflecting uncertainty in the projections. | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | Asia–Pacific Network for Global Change Research | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | Thailand Research Fund | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | National Research Council of Thailand | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | BMKG Research Fund | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | DOST-PCIEERD, Philippines | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | Japan Society for the Promotion of Science | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | Russian Science Foundation | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | Vietnam National Foundation for Science and Technology Development | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | Hanoi Forum | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | DST India | en_GB |
dc.identifier.citation | Vol. 55, pp. 1247 - 1267 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1007/s00382-020-05322-2 | |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | ARCP2013-17NMY-Tangang | en_GB |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | ARCP2014-07CMY-Tangang | en_GB |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | ARCP2015-04CMY-Tangang | en_GB |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | ICONIC-2013-001 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | MOHE FRGS/1/2017/WAB05/UKM/01/2 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | RDG5630019 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | 2557-73 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | 2559-226 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | FY 2013–2018 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | 15F15028 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | 19-47-02015 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | 0149-2019-0015 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | 105.06-2018.05 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | HNQT/QL/01.18 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | DST/INT/RUS/RSF/P-33/G | en_GB |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10871/122497 | |
dc.language.iso | en | en_GB |
dc.publisher | Springer | en_GB |
dc.rights | © 2020, The Author(s). Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. | en_GB |
dc.subject | projected rainfall | en_GB |
dc.subject | regional climate downscaling | en_GB |
dc.subject | multi-model simulations | en_GB |
dc.subject | CORDEX Southeast Asia | en_GB |
dc.title | Projected future changes in rainfall in Southeast Asia based on CORDEX–SEA multi-model simulations | en_GB |
dc.type | Article | en_GB |
dc.date.available | 2020-08-17T12:52:09Z | |
dc.identifier.issn | 0930-7575 | |
dc.description | This is the final version. Available from Springer via the DOI in this record. | en_GB |
dc.identifier.journal | Climate Dynamics | en_GB |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ | en_GB |
dcterms.dateAccepted | 2020-05-30 | |
rioxxterms.version | VoR | en_GB |
rioxxterms.licenseref.startdate | 2020-05-30 | |
rioxxterms.type | Journal Article/Review | en_GB |
refterms.dateFCD | 2020-08-17T12:45:05Z | |
refterms.versionFCD | VoR | |
refterms.dateFOA | 2020-08-17T12:52:15Z | |
refterms.panel | C | en_GB |
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Except where otherwise noted, this item's licence is described as © 2020, The Author(s). Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.