As volcanoes undergo unrest, understanding the conditions and timescales required for magma
reservoir failure, and the links to geodetic observations, are critical when evaluating the potential for magma
migration to the surface and eruption. Inferring the dynamics of a pressurized magmatic system from episodes
of surface deformation ...
As volcanoes undergo unrest, understanding the conditions and timescales required for magma
reservoir failure, and the links to geodetic observations, are critical when evaluating the potential for magma
migration to the surface and eruption. Inferring the dynamics of a pressurized magmatic system from episodes
of surface deformation is heavily reliant on the assumed crustal rheology, typically represented by an elastic
medium. Here, we use Finite Element models to identify the rheological response to reservoir pressurization
within a temperature-dependent Standard Linear Solid viscoelastic (“thermo-viscoelastic”) domain. We assess
the mechanical stability of a deforming reservoir by evaluating the overpressures required to initiate brittle
failure along the reservoir wall, and the sensitivity to key parameters. Reservoir inflation facilitates compression
of the ductile wall rock, due to the non-uniform crustal viscosity, impacting the temporal evolution of the
induced tensile stress. Thermo-viscoelasticity enables a deforming reservoir to sustain greater overpressures
prior to failure, compared to elastic analyses. High-temperature (e.g., mafic) reservoirs fail at lower
overpressures compared to low-temperature (e.g., felsic) reservoirs, producing smaller coincident displacements
at the ground surface. The impact of thermo-viscoelasticity on reservoir failure is significant across a wide
range of overpressure loading rates. By resisting mechanical failure on the reservoir wall, thermo-viscoelasticity
impacts dyke nucleation and formation of shear fractures. Numerical models may need to incorporate additional
processes that act to promote failure, such as regional stresses (e.g., topographic and tectonic), external triggers
(e.g., earthquake stress drops), or pre-existing weaknesses along the reservoir wall.
