Divergent demographic strategies of plants in variable environments
Nature Ecology and Evolution
Reason for embargo
One of the best-supported patterns in life history evolution is that organisms cope with environmental fluctuations by buffering their most important vital rates against them. This demographic buffering hypothesis is evidenced by a tendency for temporal variation in rates of survival and reproduction to correlate negatively with their contribution to fitness. Here, we show that widespread evidence for demographic buffering can be artefactual, resulting from natural relationships between the mean and variance of vital rates. Following statistical scaling, we find no significant tendency for plant life histories to be buffered demographically. Instead, some species are buffered, whereas others have labile life histories with higher temporal variation in their more important vital rates. We find phylogenetic signal in the strength and direction of variance–importance correlations, suggesting that clades of plants are prone to being either buffered or labile. Species with simple life histories are more likely to be demographically labile. Our results suggest important evolutionary nuances in how species deal with environmental fluctuations.
This work was funded by the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) UK, grant NE/L007770/1, and supported by NERC IOF grant NE/N006798/1. T.H.G.E. is funded by NERC Fellowship NE/J018163/1.
This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from Springer Nature via the DOI in this record.
Vol. 1, article 0029