dc.contributor.author | Challinor, AJ | |
dc.contributor.author | Adger, WN | |
dc.contributor.author | Benton, TG | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2019-04-25T14:32:10Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2017-09-01 | |
dc.description.abstract | Systemic climate risks, which result from the potential for cascading impacts through inter-related systems, pose
particular challenges to risk assessment, especially when risks are transmitted across sectors and international
boundaries. Most impacts of climate variability and change affect regions and jurisdictions in complex ways, and
techniques for assessing this transmission of risk are still somewhat limited. Here, we begin to define new
approaches to risk assessment that can account for transboundary and trans-sector risk transmission, by
presenting: i. a typology of risk transmission that distinguishes clearly the role of climate versus the role of the
social and economic systems that distribute resources; ii. a review of existing modelling, qualitative and systemsbased methods of assessing risk and risk transmission; and iii. case studies that examine risk transmission in human
2
Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A.
displacement, food, water and energy security. The case studies show that policies and institutions can attenuate
risks significantly through co-operation that can be mutually beneficial to all parties. We conclude with some
suggestions for assessment of complex risk transmission mechanisms: use of expert judgment; interactive scenario
building; global systems science and big data; innovative use of climate and integrated assessment models; and
methods to understand societal responses to climate risk. These approaches aim to inform both research and
national-level risk assessment. | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | European Commission | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy (CCCEP) | en_GB |
dc.identifier.citation | Vol. 7, pp. 621 - 623 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1038/nclimate3380 | |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | ES/K006576/1 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10871/36907 | |
dc.language.iso | en | en_GB |
dc.publisher | Nature Research | en_GB |
dc.rights | © 2017 Macmillan Publishers Ltd, part of Springer Nature. All Rights Reserved. | en_GB |
dc.title | Climate risks across borders and scales | en_GB |
dc.type | Article | en_GB |
dc.date.available | 2019-04-25T14:32:10Z | |
dc.identifier.issn | 1758-678X | |
dc.description | This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from Nature Research via the DOI in this record. | en_GB |
dc.identifier.journal | Nature Climate Change | en_GB |
dc.rights.uri | http://www.rioxx.net/licenses/all-rights-reserved | en_GB |
dcterms.dateAccepted | 2017-09-01 | |
exeter.funder | ::European Commission | en_GB |
rioxxterms.version | AM | en_GB |
rioxxterms.licenseref.startdate | 2017-09-01 | |
rioxxterms.type | Journal Article/Review | en_GB |
refterms.dateFCD | 2019-04-25T14:21:53Z | |
refterms.versionFCD | AM | |
refterms.dateFOA | 2019-04-25T14:32:16Z | |
refterms.panel | C | en_GB |