A data-driven network approach for characterization of political parties’ ideology dynamics

Abstract

Political ideology is a major social phenomena that plays a crucial role in the formation and dynamics of ideologically-aligned social groups. This alignment gives rise to some of the most powerful social structures in modern democracies, the political parties. Due to the influence and importance of political parties in society, estimating their ideology is an active topic in political science research. However ideology is a very subjective phenomena and existing quantitative methods for ideology estimation are susceptible to a variety estimation issues, specially when applied in multi-partisan systems. In this work, we developed a data-driven network model for political ideology estimation based on partisan relationships established from party-switching politicians. The model is applied to the Brazilian case and yields results consistent with existing literature in the Brazilian political scenario while addressing data scarcity issues in existing methodologies.