The effect of human land use change in the Hadley Centre attribution system
dc.contributor.author | Lott, FC | |
dc.contributor.author | Christidis, N | |
dc.contributor.author | Ciavarella, A | |
dc.contributor.author | Stott, PA | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2020-07-28T13:22:24Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2020-04-06 | |
dc.description.abstract | Atmospheric Science Letters published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of the Royal Meteorological Society. We have investigated the effects of land use on past climate change by means of a new 15-member ensemble of the HadGEM3-A-N216 model, usually used for event attribution studies. This ensemble runs from 1960 to 2013, and includes natural external climate forcings with the addition of human land use changes. It supports previously-existing ensembles, either with only natural forcings, or with all forcings (both anthropogenic and natural, including land use changes), in determining the contribution to the change in risk of extreme events made by land use change. We found a significant difference in near-surface air temperature trends over land, attributable to the effects of human land use. The main part of the signal derives from a relative cooling in Arctic regions which closely matches that of deforestation. This cooling appears to spread by polar amplification. A similar pattern of change is seen in latent heat flux trend, but significant rainfall change is almost entirely absent. | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | European Commission | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | UK‐China Research & Innovation Partnership Fund, Newton Fund | en_GB |
dc.identifier.citation | Vol. 21 (6), article e972 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1002/asl.972 | |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | 690462 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10871/122202 | |
dc.language.iso | en | en_GB |
dc.publisher | Wiley / Royal Meteorological Society | en_GB |
dc.rights | © 2020 The Authors. Atmospheric Science Letters published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of the Royal Meteorological Society. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. | en_GB |
dc.subject | climate | en_GB |
dc.subject | ensembles | en_GB |
dc.subject | land-atmosphere | en_GB |
dc.title | The effect of human land use change in the Hadley Centre attribution system | en_GB |
dc.type | Article | en_GB |
dc.date.available | 2020-07-28T13:22:24Z | |
dc.description | This is the final version. Available on open access from Wiley via the DOI in this record | en_GB |
dc.identifier.eissn | 1530-261X | |
dc.identifier.journal | Atmospheric Science Letters | en_GB |
dc.rights.uri | https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ | en_GB |
dcterms.dateAccepted | 2020-03-26 | |
rioxxterms.version | VoR | en_GB |
rioxxterms.licenseref.startdate | 2020-03-26 | |
rioxxterms.type | Journal Article/Review | en_GB |
refterms.dateFCD | 2020-07-28T13:17:48Z | |
refterms.versionFCD | VoR | |
refterms.dateFOA | 2020-07-28T13:22:29Z | |
refterms.panel | B | en_GB |
refterms.depositException | publishedGoldOA |
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Except where otherwise noted, this item's licence is described as © 2020 The Authors. Atmospheric Science Letters published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of the Royal Meteorological Society.
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.