A spatial emergent constraint on the sensitivity of soil carbon turnover to global warming (article)
dc.contributor.author | Varney, RM | |
dc.contributor.author | Chadburn, SE | |
dc.contributor.author | Friedlingstein, P | |
dc.contributor.author | Burke, EJ | |
dc.contributor.author | Koven, CD | |
dc.contributor.author | Hugelius, G | |
dc.contributor.author | Cox, PM | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2022-11-21T14:07:44Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2020-11-02 | |
dc.date.updated | 2022-11-21T13:24:26Z | |
dc.description.abstract | Carbon cycle feedbacks represent large uncertainties in climate change projections, and the response of soil carbon to climate change contributes the greatest uncertainty to this. Future changes in soil carbon depend on changes in litter and root inputs from plants and especially on reductions in the turnover time of soil carbon (τs) with warming. An approximation to the latter term for the top one metre of soil (ΔCs,τ) can be diagnosed from projections made with the CMIP6 and CMIP5 Earth System Models (ESMs), and is found to span a large range even at 2 °C of global warming (-196 ± 117 PgC). Here, we present a constraint on ΔCs,τ, which makes use of current heterotrophic respiration and the spatial variability of τs inferred from observations. This spatial emergent constraint allows us to halve the uncertainty in ΔCs,τ at 2 °C to -232 ± 52 PgC. | en_GB |
dc.format.extent | 5544- | |
dc.format.medium | Electronic | |
dc.identifier.citation | Vol. 11, article 5544 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.doi | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-19208-8 | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10871/131820 | |
dc.identifier | ORCID: 0000-0002-0637-0841 (Varney, Rebecca M) | |
dc.identifier | ORCID: 0000-0003-3309-4739 (Friedlingstein, Pierre) | |
dc.identifier | ScopusID: 6602135031 (Friedlingstein, Pierre) | |
dc.identifier | ORCID: 0000-0002-0679-2219 (Cox, Peter M) | |
dc.language.iso | en | en_GB |
dc.publisher | Nature Research | en_GB |
dc.relation.url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33139706 | en_GB |
dc.relation.url | https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/CMIP5/ | en_GB |
dc.relation.url | https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/cmip6/ | en_GB |
dc.relation.url | https://rda.ucar.edu/datasets/ds314.2/ | en_GB |
dc.relation.url | https://datashare.is.ed.ac.uk/handle/10283/875 | en_GB |
dc.relation.url | https://lpdaac.usgs.gov/products/mod17a3v055/ | en_GB |
dc.relation.url | https://cdiac.ess-dive.lbl.gov/epubs/ndp/ndp081/ndp081.html | en_GB |
dc.relation.url | http://cse.ffpri.affrc.go.jp/shojih/data/index.html | en_GB |
dc.relation.url | https://github.com/rebeccamayvarney/soiltau_ec | en_GB |
dc.rights | © The Author(s) 2020. Open Access. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. | en_GB |
dc.title | A spatial emergent constraint on the sensitivity of soil carbon turnover to global warming (article) | en_GB |
dc.type | Article | en_GB |
dc.date.available | 2022-11-21T14:07:44Z | |
dc.identifier.issn | 2041-1723 | |
exeter.article-number | 5544 | |
exeter.place-of-publication | England | |
dc.description | This is the final version. Available on open access from Nature Research via the DOI in this record | en_GB |
dc.description | Data availability: The datasets analysed during this study are available online: CMIP5 model output [https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/CMIP5/], CMIP6 model output [https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/cmip6/], The WFDEI Meteorological Forcing Data [https://rda.ucar.edu/datasets/ds314.2/], CARDAMOM Heterotrophic Respiration [https://datashare.is.ed.ac.uk/handle/10283/875], MODIS Net Primary Production [https://lpdaac.usgs.gov/products/mod17a3v055/], Raich et al. 2002 Soil Respiration [https://cdiac.ess-dive.lbl.gov/epubs/ndp/ndp081/ndp081.html], Hashimoto et al. 2015 Heterotrophic Respiration [http://cse.ffpri.affrc.go.jp/shojih/data/index.html], and the datasets for observational Soil Carbon [https://github.com/rebeccamayvarney/soiltau_ec]. | en_GB |
dc.description | Code availability: The Python code used to complete the analysis and produce the figures in this study is available in the following online repository [https://github.com/rebeccamayvarney/soiltau_ec]. | en_GB |
dc.identifier.eissn | 2041-1723 | |
dc.identifier.journal | Nature Communications | en_GB |
dc.relation.ispartof | Nat Commun, 11(1) | |
dc.rights.uri | https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ | en_GB |
dcterms.dateAccepted | 2020-09-17 | |
dc.rights.license | CC BY | |
rioxxterms.version | VoR | en_GB |
rioxxterms.licenseref.startdate | 2020-11-02 | |
rioxxterms.type | Journal Article/Review | en_GB |
refterms.dateFCD | 2022-11-21T14:05:24Z | |
refterms.versionFCD | VoR | |
refterms.dateFOA | 2022-11-21T14:07:45Z | |
refterms.panel | B | en_GB |
refterms.dateFirstOnline | 2020-11-02 |
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