Rate-induced tipping in natural and human systems
dc.contributor.author | Ritchie, PDL | |
dc.contributor.author | Alkhayuon, H | |
dc.contributor.author | Cox, PM | |
dc.contributor.author | Wieczorek, S | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2023-07-14T08:33:43Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2023-06-14 | |
dc.date.updated | 2023-07-14T08:16:37Z | |
dc.description.abstract | Over the last 2 decades, tipping points in open systems subject to changing external conditions have become a topic of a heated scientific debate due to the devastating consequences that they may have on natural and human systems. Tipping points are generally believed to be associated with a system bifurcation at some critical level of external conditions. When changing external conditions across a critical level, the system undergoes an abrupt transition to an alternative, and often less desirable, state. The main message of this paper is that the rate of change in external conditions is arguably of even greater relevance in the human-dominated Anthropocene but is rarely examined as a potential sole mechanism for tipping points. Thus, we address the related phenomenon of rate-induced tipping: an instability that occurs when external conditions vary faster, or sometimes slower, than some critical rate, usually without crossing any critical levels (bifurcations). First, we explain when to expect rate-induced tipping. Then, we use three illustrative and distinctive examples of differing complexity to highlight the universal and generic properties of rate-induced tipping in a range of natural and human systems. | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | European Research Council (ERC) | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | Enterprise Ireland | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | European Union Horizon 2020 | en_GB |
dc.format.extent | 669-683 | |
dc.identifier.citation | Vol. 14, Vol. 3, pp. 669-683 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.doi | https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-669-2023 | |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | 742472 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | IP20211008 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | 955708 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10871/133596 | |
dc.identifier | ORCID: 0000-0002-7649-2991 (Ritchie, Paul DL) | |
dc.identifier | ORCID: 0000-0002-0679-2219 (Cox, Peter M) | |
dc.language.iso | en | en_GB |
dc.publisher | Copernicus Publications / European Geosciences Union | en_GB |
dc.relation.url | http://github.com/hassanalkhayuon/rtippingreview | en_GB |
dc.relation.url | https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7920243 | en_GB |
dc.rights | © Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. | en_GB |
dc.title | Rate-induced tipping in natural and human systems | en_GB |
dc.type | Article | en_GB |
dc.date.available | 2023-07-14T08:33:43Z | |
dc.identifier.issn | 2190-4979 | |
dc.description | This is the final version. Available on open access from Copernicus Publications via the DOI in this record. | en_GB |
dc.description | Code and data availability. The data and codes used to conduct the simulations and generate the figures are provided in the repository (http://github.com/hassanalkhayuon/rtippingreview, last access: 7 June 2023; https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7920243, Ritchie et al., 2023) | en_GB |
dc.identifier.eissn | 2190-4987 | |
dc.identifier.journal | Earth System Dynamics | en_GB |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ | en_GB |
dcterms.dateAccepted | 2023-05-07 | |
rioxxterms.version | VoR | en_GB |
rioxxterms.licenseref.startdate | 2023-06-14 | |
rioxxterms.type | Journal Article/Review | en_GB |
refterms.dateFCD | 2023-07-14T08:24:46Z | |
refterms.versionFCD | VoR | |
refterms.dateFOA | 2023-07-14T08:33:47Z | |
refterms.panel | B | en_GB |
refterms.dateFirstOnline | 2023-06-14 |
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