The Dynamic Black-Litterman Approach to Asset Allocation
European Journal of Operational Research
Reason for embargo
We generalise the Black-Litterman (BL) portfolio management framework to incorporate time-variation in the conditional distribution of returns in the asset allocation process. We evaluate the performance of the dynamic BL model using both standard performance ratios as well as other measures that are designed to capture tail risk in the presence of non-normally distributed asset returns. We find that the dynamic BL model outperforms a range of different benchmarks. Moreover, we show that the choice of volatility model has a considerable impact on the performance of the dynamic BL model.
This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from Elsevier via the DOI in this record.
Available online 20 December 2016