A two-step sensitivity analysis for hydrological signatures in Jinhua River Basin, East China
Hydrological Sciences Journal
Taylor & Francis for International Association of Hydrological Sciences (IAHS)
Reason for embargo
This is the author accepted manuscript. It is currently under an indefinite embargo pending publication by Taylor & Francis
Parameter calibration and sensitivity analysis are usually not straightforward tasks for distributed hydrological models, owing to the complexity of model and large number of parameters. A two-step sensitivity analysis approach is proposed for analyzing the hydrological signatures based on the Distributed Hydrology-Soil-Vegetation Model in Jinhua River Basin, East China. A preliminary sensitivity analysis is conducted to obtain influential parameters via Analysis of Variance. These parameters are further analyzed through a variance-based global sensitivity analysis method to achieve robust rankings and parameter contributions. Parallel computing is designed to reduce computational burden. The results reveal that only a few parameters are significantly sensitive and the interactions between parameters could not be ignored. When analyzing hydrological signatures, it is found that water yield was simulated very well for most samples. Small and medium floods are simulated very well while slight underestimations happen to large floods.
This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (91547106 and 51379183), Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China (LR14E090001), and National Key Research and Development Plan "Inter-governmental Cooperation in International Scientific and Technological Innovation"(2016YFE0122100).