Recommendations for Improving Integration in National End-to-End Flood Forecasting Systems: An Overview of the FFIR (Flooding From Intense Rainfall) Programme
dc.contributor.author | Flack, DLA | |
dc.contributor.author | Skinner, CJ | |
dc.contributor.author | Hawkness-Smith, L | |
dc.contributor.author | O'Donnell, G | |
dc.contributor.author | Thompson, RJ | |
dc.contributor.author | Waller, JA | |
dc.contributor.author | Chen, AS | |
dc.contributor.author | Moloney, J | |
dc.contributor.author | Largeron, C | |
dc.contributor.author | Xia, X | |
dc.contributor.author | Blenkinsop, S | |
dc.contributor.author | Champion, AJ | |
dc.contributor.author | Perks, MT | |
dc.contributor.author | Quinn, N | |
dc.contributor.author | Speight, LJ | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2019-04-10T12:46:50Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2019-04-08 | |
dc.description.abstract | Recent surface-water and flash floods have caused millions of pounds worth of damage in the UK. These events form rapidly and are difficult to predict due to their short-lived and localised nature. The interdisciplinary Flooding From Intense Rainfall (FFIR) programme investigated the feasibility of enhancing the integration of an end-to-end forecasting system for flash and surface-water floods to help increase the lead time for warnings for these events. Here we propose developments to the integration of an operational end-to-end forecasting system based on the findings of the FFIR programme. The suggested developments include methods to improve radar-derived rainfall rates and understanding of the uncertainty in the position of intense rainfall in weather forecasts; the addition of hydraulic modelling components; and novel education techniques to help lead to effective dissemination of flood warnings. We make recommendations for future advances such as research into the propagation of uncertainty throughout the forecast chain. We further propose the creation of closer bonds to the end users to allow for an improved, integrated, end-to-end forecasting system that is easily accessible for users and end users alike, and will ultimately help mitigate the impacts of flooding from intense rainfall by informed and timely action. | en_GB |
dc.identifier.citation | Vol. 11 (4), article 725 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.3390/w11040725 | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10871/36779 | |
dc.language.iso | en | en_GB |
dc.publisher | MDPI | en_GB |
dc.rights | © 2019 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). | en_GB |
dc.subject | flooding | en_GB |
dc.subject | intense rainfall | en_GB |
dc.subject | end-to-end forecasting | en_GB |
dc.subject | public outreach | en_GB |
dc.subject | radar | en_GB |
dc.subject | hydraulic modelling | en_GB |
dc.subject | numerical weather prediction | en_GB |
dc.subject | data assimilation | en_GB |
dc.title | Recommendations for Improving Integration in National End-to-End Flood Forecasting Systems: An Overview of the FFIR (Flooding From Intense Rainfall) Programme | en_GB |
dc.type | Article | en_GB |
dc.date.available | 2019-04-10T12:46:50Z | |
dc.description | This is the final version. Available on open access from MDPI via the DOI in this record | en_GB |
dc.identifier.eissn | 2073-4441 | |
dc.identifier.journal | Water | en_GB |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ | en_GB |
dcterms.dateAccepted | 2019-04-02 | |
rioxxterms.funder | Natural Environment Research Council | en_GB |
rioxxterms.funder | Natural Environment Research Council | en_GB |
rioxxterms.identifier.project | NE/K00896X/1 | en_GB |
rioxxterms.identifier.project | NE/K008900/1 | en_GB |
rioxxterms.version | VoR | en_GB |
rioxxterms.licenseref.startdate | 2019-04-08 | |
rioxxterms.type | Journal Article/Review | en_GB |
refterms.dateFCD | 2019-04-10T09:30:50Z | |
refterms.versionFCD | AM | |
refterms.dateFOA | 2019-04-10T12:46:53Z | |
refterms.panel | B | en_GB |
rioxxterms.funder.project | ae8f9d68-ad66-489b-8741-7973b70b95a6 | en_GB |
rioxxterms.funder.project | da190f89-82f1-444a-a23e-83228482d6fb | en_GB |
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Except where otherwise noted, this item's licence is described as © 2019 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access
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(CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).