dc.contributor.author | Lyons, BA | |
dc.contributor.author | McKay, AM | |
dc.contributor.author | Reifler, J | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2019-12-11T14:02:46Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2019-11-04 | |
dc.description.abstract | Overconfidence helps individuals reach higher status within social groups by making them seem more competent regardless of objective ability, so this bias may be especially prevalent among status-oriented members of elite communities. Based on this premise, we explore whether lobbyists in the USA misperceive their success. Using models that (1) control for legislative outcome when predicting self-assessed policy success and (2) compare self-assessed policy success on specific proposals against the average success reported by all lobbyists working on the same side of an issue, we identify systematic tendencies to overrate achievements. Lobbyists with higher incomes, who reside in Washington, DC, USA, have congressional experience and who engage in a broader range of activities are more likely to overrate their success. Public interest group lobbyists tend to underestimate success. We conclude that political elites are subject to the same biases as others when evaluating their performance, and these biases may be largely status-driven. | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | European Research Council | en_GB |
dc.identifier.citation | Published online 04-11-2019 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1038/s41562-019-0761-9 | |
dc.identifier.grantnumber | 682785 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10871/40076 | |
dc.language.iso | en | en_GB |
dc.publisher | Nature Research (part of Springer Nature) | en_GB |
dc.rights.embargoreason | Under embargo until 4 April 2020 in compliance with publisher policy | en_GB |
dc.rights | © 2019 Springer Nature Limited | en_GB |
dc.subject | interest groups | en_GB |
dc.subject | elites | en_GB |
dc.subject | lobbying | en_GB |
dc.subject | overconfidence | en_GB |
dc.subject | policy influence | en_GB |
dc.subject | measurement | en_GB |
dc.subject | misperception | en_GB |
dc.subject | Politics and international relations | en_GB |
dc.subject | Psychology | en_GB |
dc.title | High-status lobbyists are most likely to overrate their success | en_GB |
dc.type | Article | en_GB |
dc.date.available | 2019-12-11T14:02:46Z | |
dc.description | This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from Nature Research via the DOI in this record | en_GB |
dc.identifier.journal | Nature Human Behaviour | en_GB |
dc.rights.uri | http://www.rioxx.net/licenses/all-rights-reserved | en_GB |
dcterms.dateAccepted | 2019-09-23 | |
rioxxterms.version | AM | en_GB |
rioxxterms.licenseref.startdate | 2019-09-23 | |
rioxxterms.type | Journal Article/Review | en_GB |
refterms.dateFCD | 2019-12-11T12:55:05Z | |
refterms.versionFCD | AM | |
refterms.dateFOA | 2020-04-03T23:00:00Z | |
refterms.panel | C | en_GB |