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On the effect of ensemble size on the discrete and continuous ranked probability scores

dc.contributor.authorFerro, Christopher A.T.
dc.contributor.authorRichardson, David S.
dc.contributor.authorWeigel, Andreas P.
dc.date.accessioned2013-04-26T16:04:57Z
dc.date.issued2008-03-20
dc.description.abstractFour recent papers have investigated the effects of ensemble size on the Brier score (BS) and discrete ranked probability score (RPS) attained by ensemble-based probabilistic forecasts. The connections between these papers are described and their results are generalized. In particular, expressions, explanations and estimators for the expected effect of ensemble size on the RPS and continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) are obtained. Copyright (c) 2008 Royal Meteorological Society.en_GB
dc.identifier.citationVol. 15 (1), pp. 19 - 24en_GB
dc.identifier.doi10.1002/met.45
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10871/8523
dc.language.isoenen_GB
dc.publisherRoyal Meteorological Societyen_GB
dc.relation.urlhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1002/met.45en_GB
dc.subjectBrier scoreen_GB
dc.subjectforecast verificationen_GB
dc.subjectreliabilityen_GB
dc.subjectsharpnessen_GB
dc.subjectskill scoresen_GB
dc.subjectprediction systemsen_GB
dc.subjectskillen_GB
dc.subjectBrieren_GB
dc.titleOn the effect of ensemble size on the discrete and continuous ranked probability scoresen_GB
dc.typeArticleen_GB
dc.date.available2013-04-26T16:04:57Z
dc.identifier.issn1350-4827
dc.descriptionCopyright © 2008 Royal Meteorological Societyen_GB
dc.identifier.eissn1469-8080
dc.identifier.journalMeteorological Applicationsen_GB
refterms.dateFOA2023-09-13T11:06:06Z


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