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dc.contributor.authorEames, Matthew E.
dc.contributor.authorKershaw, Tristan
dc.contributor.authorColey, David
dc.date.accessioned2013-05-17T15:27:55Z
dc.date.issued2011
dc.description.abstractWeather data are used extensively by building scientists and engineers to study the performance of their designs, help compare design alternatives and ensure compliance with building regulations. Given a changing climate, there is a need to provide data for future years so that practising engineers can investigate the impact of climate change on particular designs and examine any risk the commissioning client might be exposed to. In addition, such files are of use to building scientists in developing generic solutions to problems such as elevated internal temperatures and poor thermal comfort. With the publication of the UK Climate Projections (UKCP09) such data can be created for future years up to 2080 and for various probabilistic projections of climate change by the use of a weather generator. Here, we discuss a method for the creation of future probabilistic reference years for use within thermal models. In addition, a comparison is made with the current set of future weather years based on the UKCIP02 projections. When used within a dynamic thermal simulation of a building, the internal environments created by the current set of future weather files lie within the range of the internal environments created by the probabilistic reference years generated by the weather generator. Hence, the main advantages of the weather generator are seen to lie in its potentially greater spatial resolution, its ability to inform risk analysis and that such files, unlike ones based on observed data, carry no copyright. Practical applications: The methodology presented in this article will allow academics and buildings engineers to create realistic hourly future weather files using the future climate data of UKCP09 weather generator. This will allow the creation of consistent future weather years for use in areas such as building thermal simulation.en_GB
dc.identifier.citationVol. 32 (2), pp. 127 - 142en_GB
dc.identifier.doi10.1177/0143624410379934
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10871/9483
dc.language.isoenen_GB
dc.publisherSAGE Publicationsen_GB
dc.relation.urlhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0143624410379934en_GB
dc.subjectweather generatoren_GB
dc.subjectclimate changeen_GB
dc.subjectUKCP09en_GB
dc.subjectweather filesen_GB
dc.subjectthermal simulationen_GB
dc.titleOn the creation of future probabilistic design weather years from UKCP09en_GB
dc.typeArticleen_GB
dc.date.available2013-05-17T15:27:55Z
dc.identifier.issn0143-6244
dc.descriptionCopyright © 2011 by SAGE Publicationsen_GB
dc.identifier.eissn1477-0849
dc.identifier.journalBuilding Services Engineering Research and Technologyen_GB


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