dc.contributor.author | Ashwin, Peter | |
dc.contributor.author | Wieczorek, Sebastian | |
dc.contributor.author | Vitolo, Renato | |
dc.contributor.author | Cox, Peter M. | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2012-11-20T16:04:56Z | en_GB |
dc.date.accessioned | 2013-03-20T12:28:18Z | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2013-09-20T12:38:06Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2012 | |
dc.description.abstract | Tipping points associated with bifurcations (B-tipping) or induced by noise (N-tipping) are recognized mechanisms that may potentially lead to sudden climate change. We focus here on a novel class of tipping points, where a sufficiently rapid change to an input or parameter of a system may cause the system to 'tip' or move away from a branch of attractors. Such rate-dependent tipping, or R-tipping, need not be associated with either bifurcations or noise. We present an example of all three types of tipping in a simple global energy balance model of the climate system, illustrating the possibility of dangerous rates of change even in the absence of noise and of bifurcations in the underlying quasi-static system. | en_GB |
dc.identifier.citation | Vol. 370 (1962), pp. 1166-1184 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1098/rsta.2011.0306 | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10871/13601 | |
dc.language.iso | en | en_GB |
dc.publisher | The Royal Society | en_GB |
dc.relation.url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2011.0306 | en_GB |
dc.subject | rate-dependent tipping point | en_GB |
dc.subject | bifurcation | en_GB |
dc.subject | climate system | en_GB |
dc.title | Tipping points in open systems: bifurcation, noise-induced and rate-dependent examples in the climate system | en_GB |
dc.type | Article | en_GB |
dc.date.available | 2012-11-20T16:04:56Z | en_GB |
dc.date.available | 2013-03-20T12:28:18Z | |
dc.date.available | 2013-09-20T12:38:06Z | |
dc.identifier.issn | 1364-503X | |
exeter.place-of-publication | England | en_GB |
dc.description | Copyright © 2012 The Royal Society. NOTICE: This is the author’s version of a work accepted for publication by The Royal Society. The definitive version was subsequently published in Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, Vol. 370, Number 1962, DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2011.0306 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.eissn | 1471-2962 | |
dc.identifier.journal | Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences | en_GB |