dc.contributor.author | Harper, AB | |
dc.contributor.author | Powell, T | |
dc.contributor.author | Cox, PM | |
dc.contributor.author | House, J | |
dc.contributor.author | Huntingford, C | |
dc.contributor.author | Lenton, TM | |
dc.contributor.author | Sitch, S | |
dc.contributor.author | Burke, E | |
dc.contributor.author | Chadburn, SE | |
dc.contributor.author | Collins, WJ | |
dc.contributor.author | Comyn-Platt, E | |
dc.contributor.author | Daioglou, V | |
dc.contributor.author | Doelman, JC | |
dc.contributor.author | Hayman, G | |
dc.contributor.author | Robertson, E | |
dc.contributor.author | van Vuuren, D | |
dc.contributor.author | Wiltshire, A | |
dc.contributor.author | Webber, CP | |
dc.contributor.author | Bastos, A | |
dc.contributor.author | Boysen, L | |
dc.contributor.author | Ciais, P | |
dc.contributor.author | Devaraju, N | |
dc.contributor.author | Jain, AK | |
dc.contributor.author | Krause, A | |
dc.contributor.author | Poulter, B | |
dc.contributor.author | Shu, S | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2018-08-13T08:23:28Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2018-08-07 | |
dc.description.abstract | Scenarios that limit global warming to below 2 °C by 2100 assume significant land-use change to support large-scale carbon dioxide (CO2) removal from the atmosphere by afforestation/reforestation, avoided deforestation, and Biomass Energy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS). The more ambitious mitigation scenarios require even greater land area for mitigation and/or earlier adoption of CO2 removal strategies. Here we show that additional land-use change to meet a 1.5 °C climate change target could result in net losses of carbon from the land. The effectiveness of BECCS strongly depends on several assumptions related to the choice of biomass, the fate of initial above ground biomass, and the fossil-fuel emissions offset in the energy system. Depending on these factors, carbon removed from the atmosphere through BECCS could easily be offset by losses due to land-use change. If BECCS involves replacing high-carbon content ecosystems with crops, then forest-based mitigation could be more efficient for atmospheric CO2 removal than BECCS. | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | The work was undertaken as part of the UK Natural Environment Research Council’s
programme “Understanding the Pathways to and Impacts of a 1.5 °C Rise in Global
Temperature” through grants NE/P014941/1 (P.C., A.H., T.P., J.H., C.H., S.Sitch, T.L.),
NE/P015050/1 (E.C.-P., G.H., S.C.), and NE/P014909/1 (W.C., C.W., C.H., P.C., S.Sitch).
The authors also acknowledge support from: EPSRC Fellowship EP/N030141/1 (A.H.);
NERC NE/P019951/1 (A.H. and T.L.); the Joint UK BEIS/Defra Met Office Hadley
Centre Climate Programme (GA01101) (E.B., A.W., and E.R.); CRESCENDO (EU
project 641816) (E.B., A.W., E.R., and L.B.); EU FP7 LUC4C program (GA603542) (J.H.,
A.K., S.Sitch, and A.W); CEH National Capability Fund (C.H.); the U.S. National Science
Foundation (NSF) under the EPSCoR Track II cooperative agreement no. OIA-1632810
(B.P.); and through NSF-AGS-12-43071 (A.K.J. and S.Shu). | en_GB |
dc.identifier.citation | Vol. 9: 2938 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1038/s41467-018-05340-z | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10871/33716 | |
dc.language.iso | en | en_GB |
dc.publisher | Nature Publishing Group | en_GB |
dc.relation.source | The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon request. IMAGE scenario land-use data is also available from https://data.knmi.nl/datasets?q=PBL. | en_GB |
dc.relation.url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30087330 | en_GB |
dc.rights | © The Author(s) 2018. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons
Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing,
adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give
appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative
Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party
material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless
indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the
article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory
regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from
the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/
licenses/by/4.0/. | en_GB |
dc.title | Land-use emissions play a critical role in land-based mitigation for Paris climate targets. | en_GB |
dc.type | Article | en_GB |
dc.date.available | 2018-08-13T08:23:28Z | |
exeter.place-of-publication | England | en_GB |
dc.description | This is the final version of the article. Available from Nature via the DOI in this record. | en_GB |
dc.identifier.eissn | 2041-1723 | |
dc.identifier.journal | Nature Communications | en_GB |