The long memory model of political support: some further results

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The long memory model of political support: some further results

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dc.contributor.author Byers, David en_GB
dc.contributor.author Davidson, James en_GB
dc.contributor.author Peel, David en_GB
dc.contributor.department Cardiff Business School; University of Exeter; Lancaster University en_GB
dc.date.accessioned 2009-02-13T11:03:02Z en_GB
dc.date.accessioned 2011-01-25T10:26:07Z en_US
dc.date.accessioned 2013-03-19T15:50:39Z
dc.date.issued 2007-11 en_GB
dc.description.abstract This article extends the results of Byers et al. (1997) on long memory in support for the Conservative and Labour Parties in the UK using longer samples and additional poll series. It finds continuing support for the ARFIMA(0, d, 0) model, though with somewhat smaller values of the long memory parameter. We find that the move to telephone polling in the mid-1990s had no apparent effect on the estimated value of d for either party. Finally, we find that we cannot reject the hypotheses that the parties share a common long memory parameter which we estimate at around 0.65. en_GB
dc.identifier.citation Applied Economics, Volume 39, Number 20, November 2007 , pp. 2547-2552 en_GB
dc.identifier.doi 10.1080/00036840600707340 en_GB
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10036/49055 en_GB
dc.language.iso en en_GB
dc.publisher Routledge, part of the Taylor & Francis Group en_GB
dc.relation.ispartofseries Lancaster University Management School working paper en_GB
dc.relation.ispartofseries 2005/069 en_GB
dc.relation.url http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals/routledge/00036846.html en_GB
dc.subject fractional integration en_GB
dc.subject long memory en_GB
dc.subject opinion polls en_GB
dc.subject political support en_GB
dc.title The long memory model of political support: some further results en_GB
dc.type Article en_GB
dc.date.available 2009-02-13T11:03:02Z en_GB
dc.date.available 2011-01-25T10:26:07Z en_US
dc.date.available 2013-03-19T15:50:39Z
dc.identifier.issn 00036846 en_GB
dc.identifier.issn 14664283 en_GB
dc.description Paper issued by Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department in its series Working Papers. Final version published by Routledge and available on http://www.tandf.co.uk/journals/routledge/00036846.html en_GB
dc.identifier.journal Applied Economics en_GB


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