dc.contributor.author | Grassi, G | |
dc.contributor.author | House, J | |
dc.contributor.author | Kurz, WA | |
dc.contributor.author | Cescatti, A | |
dc.contributor.author | Houghton, RA | |
dc.contributor.author | Peters, GP | |
dc.contributor.author | Sanz, MJ | |
dc.contributor.author | Viñas, RA | |
dc.contributor.author | Alkama, R | |
dc.contributor.author | Arneth, A | |
dc.contributor.author | Bondeau, A | |
dc.contributor.author | Dentener, F | |
dc.contributor.author | Fader, M | |
dc.contributor.author | Federici, S | |
dc.contributor.author | Friedlingstein, P | |
dc.contributor.author | Jain, AK | |
dc.contributor.author | Kato, E | |
dc.contributor.author | Koven, CD | |
dc.contributor.author | Lee, D | |
dc.contributor.author | Nabel, JEMS | |
dc.contributor.author | Nassikas, AA | |
dc.contributor.author | Perugini, L | |
dc.contributor.author | Rossi, S | |
dc.contributor.author | Sitch, S | |
dc.contributor.author | Viovy, N | |
dc.contributor.author | Wiltshire, A | |
dc.contributor.author | Zaehle, S | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2018-10-25T10:32:24Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2018-09-24 | |
dc.description.abstract | Achieving the long-term temperature goal of the Paris Agreement requires forest-based mitigation. Collective progress towards this goal will be assessed by the Paris Agreement’s Global stocktake. At present, there is a discrepancy of about 4 GtCO2yr−1in global anthropogenic net land-use emissions between global models (reflected in IPCC assessment reports) and aggregated national GHG inventories (under the UNFCCC). We show that a substantial part of this discrepancy (about 3.2 GtCO2yr−1) can be explained by conceptual differences in anthropogenic forest sink estimation, related to the representation of environmental change impacts and the areas considered as managed. For a more credible tracking of collective progress under the Global stocktake, these conceptual differences between models and inventories need to be reconciled. We implement a new method of disaggregation of global land model results that allows greater comparability with GHG inventories. This provides a deeper understanding of model–inventory differences, allowing more transparent analysis of forest-based mitigation and facilitating a more accurate Global stocktake. | en_GB |
dc.description.sponsorship | J.H. was supported by EU FP7 through project LUC4C (GA603542) and the UK NERC project GGRiLS-GAP. G.G. was supported by Administrative Arrangement Number 340203/2016/742550/SER/CLIMA.A3. A.K.J. was supported by the NSF (AGS 12-43071) and DOE (DE-SC0016323). J.E.M.S.N. was supported by the German Research Foundation’s Emmy Noether Programme (grant number PO1751/1-1). G.G., J.H., G.P.P. and L.P. received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement number 776810 (VERIFY). C.D.K. was supported by the US DOE under Contract DE-AC02-05CH11231 as part of their RGMA (BGC-Feedbacks SFA) and TES Programs (NGEE-Tropics). A.K.J. was supported under the US NSF (NSF-AGS-12-43071). | en_GB |
dc.identifier.citation | Vol. 8, pp. 914 - 920 | en_GB |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1038/s41558-018-0283-x | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10871/34447 | |
dc.language.iso | en | en_GB |
dc.publisher | Springer Nature | en_GB |
dc.rights.embargoreason | Under embargo until 24 March 2019 in compliance with publisher policy | en_GB |
dc.rights | © 2018, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited. | en_GB |
dc.title | Reconciling global-model estimates and country reporting of anthropogenic forest CO2 sinks | en_GB |
dc.type | Article | en_GB |
dc.identifier.issn | 1758-678X | |
dc.description | This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from Springer Nature via the DOI in this record | en_GB |
dc.description | Data availability:
The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon request. | en_GB |
dc.identifier.journal | Nature Climate Change | en_GB |